Posts from the ‘Magicjack (CALL)’ Category

May 11

Week 149: Earnings Update on a few companies

This isn’t a complete portfolio update. I won’t be posting my performance or trades; I will leave that for another week. I just want to give a short update on some of the earnings reports that have come out or are still to come out while the thoughts are still fresh in my mind. Here is a quick snapshot of the top positions in my portfolio as of Friday’s close.

MagicJack

MagicJack earnings come out Monday after the market close. I’m nervous about them, because the stocks action has been poor, it is a large position for me and because I’m not convinced the numbers will be great.

The company lowered advertising spend significantly in the quarter in anticipation of the release of the new version of the device and the app. That will help costs, but it will also probably hurt revenue. On the fourth quarter call the company said that they expected the first half of the year to be “soft”. Read more

Apr 23

9 Comments

Week 146: Some thoughts on agility

Portfolio Performance

See the end of the post for the current make up of my portfolio and the last four weeks of trades.

Recent Developments

Four weeks ago I wrote:

I think an important pillar of my strategy to take advantage of the concentration that I can have. I don’t have anyone pressuring me to be diversified or questioning my risk level or anyone to answer to if something goes wrong. So I don’t hesitate to have a large percentage of my portfolio tied to the names I think will perform the best.

With that said, the names that I am currently of the heaviest weight are, of course, Pacific Ethanol, which remains my largest position by far

Today Pacific Ethanol represents a 2% position for me. Read more

Mar 17

2 Comments

Week 141: Portfolio Allocation

Portfolio Performance

See the end of the post for the current make up of my portfolio and the last four weeks of trades.

Recent Developments

I’ve been on vacation and so am a couple weeks late getting an update out.

My portfolio had a big move up, thanks mostly to the movement of Pacific Ethanol and MagicJack. Pacific Ethanol had a one day gain of 67% last Thursday, and is nearly a 4-bagger since I bought in. MagicJack is nearly a double.

But what has really helped is that even before the run-up Pacific Ethanol was my largest position. MagicJack was my fourth largest position.

One of the ironies of writing about the stocks I own, is that what I write about most is often not what I have the biggest position in. The stocks I have the most to say about are the one’s that are on the cusp, where I am constantly debating whether to hold on to them or not. My biggest positions; Pacific Ethanol, Yellow Media and MagicJack, for example, I have written only a single post about. That post states the thesis, and as long as that thesis is valid I don’t have much else to say.

Yet the stocks in my portfolio are far from being of equal weighting. I usually have a lot of stocks. Unless the market is going down, the stocks number at least 30 and has recently approached 40. But most of the positions are quite small, in the 1-2% range. These as starter positions; enough to keep me interested and following the company, but not enough to hurt me too much. If my thesis for these companies plays out, or if, as I learn more I become more comfortable with the idea, I add. If not, if the company materially lags or sometimes if time simply passes and I lose interest in the idea, I drop the position and move on. Read more

Nov 9

5 Comments

The other VoIP Play I added: magicJack (CALL)

While I was investigating Vonage I was introduced to their competitor magicJack by an acquaintance on twitter. Interestingly, in the process of talking me into magicJack he talked himself out of his own position. Let this serve as foreshadowing that this is not an investment without its warts.

The Positives

magicJack, like Vonage, provides voice over IP for telephone services for consumers. magicJack sells a little dongle like device that plugs into the USB port of your computer. You plug in the device, plug in your phone to the other end, and are off to the races. The company is best known for the incessent commercials they have pummeled at people for years. They also have a mobile app available on Android and the iPhone that allows you to make free long-distance and international calls as long as you are connected to Wifi.

magicJack has an enterprise value of about $250 million, comprised entirely of its market capitalization less $45 million of cash. In the first 6 months of the year the company generated a little over $21 million of cash, which puts the stock at an attractive 6x Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow. If you step back to prior years, free cash flow generation as per the balance sheet was even stronger. The company has also been able to grow its customer base over the last few years, though this growth has tapered off some in the first half of 2013. A new device was launched in June that should provide a boost to growth, with the extent of that boost likely determining the stocks price in the short run. Read more